In 2004, Russia’s President Putin said the collapse of the Soviet Union “was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century.” This was picked up by our hawks as a Moscow wish for more Cold War. They should have waited for the rest of the sentence: ’Tens of millions of our
MoreWith much less drama than its famous 1971 Pentagon Papers, the New York Times has disclosed three documents confirming that Russia and Ukraine were close to war-ending agreements in the first half of 2022, shortly after Moscow began its so-called ‘special operation’ attack on Ukraine, February 24, 2022. The newspaper
MoreThe BBC has a loose bolt somewhere. It has now begun a strange campaign saying it is dedicated to non-spin reporting. The slogan is ‘Absolutely no spin.’ It says it will deliver us to an ‘unspun world.’ To which I would say ‘if only that were true.’ But at times
MoreOn February 28, 2022, four days after Russia had attacked into Ukraine, Moscow and Kiev began peace talks. The Russian attack had aimed to force Kiev to promise neutrality – i.e. not to join NATO. It also aimed to put an end to eight years of neo-NAZI and other militant
MoreHow can it happen that a person who probably no longer exists can keep an entire nation, North Korea, in poverty for more than twenty years, and the rest of us under prolonged nuclear threat? The story is complicated. In 2001 Tokyo sent a senior foreign ministry official to North
MoreFor eight years Ukraine’s military and ultra-nationalists militias have felt free to try to ravage the two Donbas hold-outs, beginning with the total destruction of a large modern airport of Donetsk. It is a well-known saying: In war the first casualty is the truth. Maybe that can now be changed:
MoreSlovakia is the poor relation created when the former Czechoslovakia divided in 1993 into the Czech and Slovak Republics. The Czech Republic has hewn closely to EU and NATO policies over Ukraine. But despite NATO membership the Slovak Republic has decided to go its own way. It will halt military
MoreThe economic progress has been even more impressive than what I, for one, had been led to believe – complex four or even six lane highway systems plus bullet train systems linking major cities; endless rows of high-rise around even minor towns or cities; broad car tunnels running miles under
MoreIn East West relations it has become something of a habit. First you reach an agreement promising flowers and chocolates. The other side reacts with concessions and hopes for a brighter future. Then your hawks move in. They say you should never have made those promises. The agreement is forgotten
MoreThe ‘your atrocity is worse than my atrocity’ argument at the core of Richard Cribb’s response to Richard Culllen over Japan needs to be handled with care (February 21.Pearls and Irritations) Japan’s apologists can and do point to the civilised treatment of Russian and German prisoners in the China wars
MoreDefeated in 1949 in its civil war against China’s pro-Communist forces, the Nationalist KMT, or Kuo Min-tang, party has had a victory. But it had to wait till last Sunday’s Taiwan mayoral elections, where it won 13 of Taiwan’s 23 district electorates. Remarkably, the winner in the key election for
MoreSinophobia is embedded in the Australian DNA. Canberra’s Vietnam War follies were an early proof. Our Leftwing likes to believe that Canberra was dragged into the Vietnam war by the US. The reality was the exact opposite: Canberra, with its obsessive fear of China, helped drag Washington into that war.
MoreAt last count there was only one English speaker reporting the war from the Russian side. For this recent visitor to Moscow, Mr Putin’s war hardly seemed to exist. No soldiers are marching the streets. The TV featured endless food shows. Plaintive is not a word one would associate with
MoreMr Albanese is coming to Tokyo for the September 27 state funeral of former Japanese prime minister, Shinzo Abe. Does our PM know or care about Abe’s background? Two thirds of Japanese people oppose the state funeral. Not everyone will welcome the attention. Mr Abe’s death was at the hands
MoreJapan has protested Moscow’s use of four Japanese claimed islands during its recent Vostok -2022 military exercises in Russia’s Far East and Japan’s northern seas. One can understand Tokyo’ s frustration. Through intensive talks it could have gained immediate ownership of two of the four islands now in dispute back
MoreAs UN high commissioner for human rights Michelle Bachelet has released the report of her office into human rights concerns in China’s Xinjiang province. Amongst other things it accuses officials in the province of torturing Uyghurs detained for suspected dissident crimes. Torture is a topic familiar to Ms Bachelet. Her father was
MoreThe request came from out of the blue. A neighbor whose wife had imperial family connections had sent us a message that the crown prince, Naruhito, want to talk with me. He was said to have had read an article I had written for a Nagano prefecture regional newspaper about
MoreSeveral weeks ago Four Corners gave us a special program about Xinjiang Uyghurs sent to prison-style camps and forced to learn Chinese. I watched it recently as a rebroadcast. I was once sent to an Australian military camp to learn Chinese, at Pt. Cook near Melbourne. Conditions were fairly severe.
MoreTerritorial dispute blocks contacts that could have vitalized economies of Hokkaido and the Russian Far East For almost 60 years, Moscow’s large embassy near central Tokyo has been under siege. Tokyo demands the return of some islands it lost to Moscow at the end of the war. In support of
MoreBegins: We hear much today about Xinjiang Uyghurs sent to prison-style camps and forced to learn Chinese. Four Corners devoted a special program to it. I was once sent to an Australian camp to learn Chinese, at Pt. Cook near Melbourne. Conditions were fairly severe. Eight hours a day, five
MoreFreedom of press critics have complained how the Russian government news program, RT, has been blocked by many Western outlets during the Ukrainian fighting. But in fact the channel has always been freely available through Google as RT online. It remains as interesting, and surprisingly impartial, as ever – mainly
MoreAustralia’s relations with China were always prickly. Now they are slipping into farce. In 2014 both claimed a “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.” Now, mistranslations and distortions of Chinese statements, deliberate or otherwise, are allowed constantly to poison relations between two countries. An example of the mistranslation game in action was when Australian
MoreObservers have long seen connections between Japanese political parties and religious groups as dubious if not dangerous TOKYO – Tetsuya Yamagami, the 41-year-old former member of Japan’s Self-Defense Forces who killed Japan’s former prime minister Shinzo Abe last week, said during police interrogation that his motive was Abe’s close relations
MoreIs there any hope for Australia-China relations? I have spent most of a 60 year career on the periphery of those relations – in Canberra, Hong Kong, Moscow and Japan, with some time in China mainly during the crucial Cultural Revolution period. I was the first Australian official postwar to
MoreFor 20 years, the abductee issue has been politically abused, with disastrous results for regional diplomacy and security Tensions are on a high simmer in Northeast Asia as North Korea presses ahead with missile tests. During his recent visit to Tokyo, US President Joe Biden joined the chorus of those
MoreThe West seems to have forgotten there are several precedents for a solution in Ukraine. When North Ireland was torn apart by sectarian religious violence the solution eventually became obvious -. separate the two, by barbed wire if necessary. When Spain was being hit by sectarian language differences, in Basque
MoreChina-US recognition The key clause in the Jan 1, 1979, joint communique for the establishment of US-China relations said: The Government of the United States of America acknowledges the Chinese position that there is but one China and Taiwan is part of China. The US at the time claimed that
MoreNo one seems to have noticed the fatal Quad flaw: India weeks ago refused passage of Japanese aircraft carrying aid to Ukraine. India-Russia attachment is very strong. BTW. Russia is finally doing what it should have done from the start – attack into the Russian speaking areas of the Donbas –
MoreThe Solomon Islands fiasco confirms what some of us have long known – the gradual decline in the quality of Australian foreign policy. The Bougainville copper mine and subsequent conflicts gave Australia a commercial and political interest in the islands going back to the sixties An experienced and ranking diplomatic
MoreBy Geoff Miller At the time of the Vietnam War Gregory Clark, an Australian diplomat who resigned from government service because he disagreed with Australian policy in regard to the war, wrote a well-received book titled “In Fear of China”. The recent outcry over the Solomons’ agreement with China shows
MoreWhile Western news agencies and media have been falling over each other in the rush to cover the Ukrainian side of the story the Russian side of the story has been ignored. When two cluster bombs recently killed some fifty people at the Kramatorsk railway station in the Donetsk region
MoreFor eight years Ukraine’s military and ultra-nationalists militias have felt free to try to ravage the two Donbas hold-outs. It is a well-known saying: In war the first casualty is the truth. Maybe that can now be changed: In war the first casualty is the claimed reasons for the war.
MoreThe threat of an increasingly aggressive NATO moving into Ukraine -Russia’s backyard – was real and had to be stopped. Most impartial observers agree. Strong personal and historical links were an even larger reason. Many Ukrainian families have connections with the other side of the border with Russia. They speak
MoreSo the inevitable has happened. Did the Kiev authorities in Ukraine really believe they could continue forever to ignore the Minsk autonomy agreements they had signed in 2015 while maintaining a constant bombardment on civilians in the two pro-Russian holdouts of Donetsk and Lugansk? It was inevitable Moscow would eventually
MoreIn Australia we like to believe that the US Pacific Fleet saved us from Japanese attack in 1942-1944, but that is only partly true. According to Japanese war history expert, Moteki Hiromichi, it is also true that but for a mistake in Japan’s wartime strategy the US Pacific Fleet would
MoreAs France works to de-escalate the crisis in Ukraine, the anti-Russian media will need to find another bone to chew on. Vive la France. During the Cold War Charles de Gaulle’s France did much to restrain the Anglo-American ingrained hostility to Russia by refusing to go along with the creation of
MoreThe use by China critics of a tennis player’s broken relationship with a senior party official to paint the regime in Beijing as evil is absurd. China bashing has just got a lot easier. Now you do not have to go all the way to Xinjiang or Tibet to find
MoreThe complex state of Beijing-Taipei relations that the anti-China hawks do not understand or probably worse don’t want to understand. It’s a sad day when Paul Keating is virtually the only eloquent voice from Australia to mock Canberra’s dangerously amateurish anti-China rhetoric. And those remarks are especially welcome coming from
MoreJapan does not have to speak forever with only one voice. For a remarkable moment in 2002 Tokyo’s moderates were poised to have Japan move to policies that would have ended the years of hostility to North Korea and Pyongyang’s push to acquire nuclear weapons. The move was only killed
MoreThe US and China established full diplomatic relations in 1979, but that year the US Congress wrote its own script for Taiwan. Today, what the Chinese side interprets as word games by the US may wreak deadly consequences. As the pressure heats up over Taiwan there seems to be some
MoreSince the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal our mainstream media experts have doubled down on the claim Beijing is expansionist. Since few of them can read or speak Chinese maybe I can help them. First of all there are two entities claiming to represent China. One is the communist government in
MoreWhen the ANZUS Treaty was signed 70 years ago, Japan was considered a dangerous aggressor, and China was a friend. Scott Morrison, speaking in the House of Representatives on the 70th anniversary of the ANZUS Treaty, said the treaty dealt with the world “honestly as it is, in the hope
MoreElections to select a new leader for Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) could finally see some clarity over Tokyo’s policy towards China. To date that policy has been muddled. The hawks under former prime minister, Shinzo Abe, are dominant in the party. And while their policy to China seems
MoreWho rules eastern Europe commands the Heartland Who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island; Who rules the World-Island commands the world. — Halford Mackinder, Democratic Ideals and Reality, 1904 Mackinder’s thinking, still not completely outdated, has had more influence than is often realised. It inspired Hitler’s attack on the Soviet
MoreASPI – Australian Strategic Policy Institute – claims to have some of Australia’s foremost strategic thinkers working for it. Number-two ASPI staffer, Mr Michael Shoebridge, appeared on a YouTube video some time back warning about Russian plans to attack Ukraine by moving troops to the Ukrainian border, and the measures
MoreIf you thought we knew everything about the Tiananmen Square Massacre of June 3-4, 1989, think again. Mysteries remain. Some are so significant we need to review our ideas about what was going on in China at that time. Until very recently if you typed the words Tiananmen Massacre into
MoreI find it hard to understand the logic of anti-tobashi reasoning set out in Richard’s posting below. The logic seems to say this: when markets collapse it may be inevitable that some banks will be reluctant to extend loans to some distressed borrowers. But so be it. Those who cannot
MoreWorking on Canberra’s China desk, some time after the 1958 Taiwan Straits crisis, we knew already from various sources what Pentagon Papers leaker Daniel Ellsberg has now formally disclosed – that at the height of the crisis the US was prepared to use nuclear weapons to defend Quemoy, a Taiwan-held
MoreTokyo’s security apparatus must have followed with amazement that excellent series by Max Suich in the AFR of 16-18 May, revealing the anti-China antics of their Australian opposite numbers. A elected member of Australia’s parliament driven out in disgrace for maintaining a relationship with suspected Chinese government agents? In Japan
MoreThe year was 1962. As Canberra’s first trainee in Chinese I had been placed on the Department of External Affairs China desk and told to monitor rising tension along the Sino-Indian Himalayan frontier. Beijing was complaining about repeated Indian frontier violations and warning there would be consequences if India went
MoreIn concert, the US and the UK in the 1960s seized the island of Diego Garcia, expelled its inhabitants and converted it into a massive airbase for the bombing of Middle Eastern and African targets. Both countries continue to defy a ruling by the International Court of Justice to transfer the
MoreBegins: Today our intelligence agencies and bureaucrats tell us that China is the enemy. But less than 50 years ago the same agencies and bureaucrats (or their predecessors) were warning us that the enemy against which we had to prepare was Japan . The story begins in the early
MoreA paper delivered at the annual Amagi Conference devoted to the topic of Japan -50 years after the war end – also published in The Japan Times. by Gregory Clark, Tokyo (Gregory Clark is a former diplomat and policy adviser to the Australian government. He is currently a professor of
MoreThe Sino/Soviet Dispute The Background to the Dispute – Summary When the Chinese Communist armies defeated their Nationalist opponents in 1949 only two things stood between them and final victory – the island of Taiwan still occupied by the fleeing Nationalist armies and a scattering of islands close to
MoreTHE SINO/INDIAN DISPUTE An outline of the Tibetan question is needed to understand the very important role that country has played in Sino/Indian relations. India had, on gaining independence in 1947, inherited the British “special position” in Tibet, along with the Mission in Lhasa and trade agencies in larger towns.
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